Project Introduction
It is the company’s Intention to build a ‘Real-Time’ Covid-19 – SARS – Influenza Detector.
WHY?
With 534,246,130 confirmed cases in 228 countries and territories and 6.37m deaths recorded globally (as at 2/6/22), the Covid 19 virus has proven itself to be one of, if not the most contagious infection in the world to date.
In January 2022 the IMF estimated that the cost of COVID pandemic will rise beyond the previous $12.5 trillion figure given, and IATA suggest that it will cost the Aviation sector alone some $168 bn.
Perhaps though, the highest cost is yet to be calculated, the social impact on humanity of ‘LOCKDOWN’.
The National EMS Information System (NEMSIS) provides first responder data for 46 million respondents from 2017-2020. In March-July of 2020 compared to the same period for 2019 and 2018, there was a sharp increase in calls activated by drug overdoses and deaths, mental and behavioral issues, and the need for naloxone, and in refusals to go to the hospitals by overdose victims. While the NEMSIS data only covers a fraction of actual deaths, it is collected in real time, allowing us to follow changing trends. EMS calls for opioid-related activities, for example, increased from roughly 2,000 per week in February and March 2019 to almost 5,000 per week in the same time period for 2020. Calls for mental and behavioral problems increased from just under 35,000 per week in the same time period for 2019 to almost 45,000 per week in 2020.
Lockdowns consist of a variety of measures to try and stop the spread of a deadly virus. What is clear historically is that lockdowns have no successful history against infectious diseases.
Basic epidemiological science demonstrates that lockdowns do not reduce the total number of cases in the long run and have never in history led to the eradication of a disease. At best, lockdowns delay the increase of cases for a finite period but at a huge cost.
The Great Barrington Declaration
Global Professional Health Specialists, including some 12,749 medical and public health scientists and 38,281 medical practitioners, have signed up to an alternative, risk based approach to the Covid-19 pandemic known as the “The Great Barrington Declaration’(https://gbdeclaration.org) in an effort to change Global Government mentality to lockdown as they fear the damage it causes far outweigh the general Covid-19 risks to the majority of mankind.
However, lockdown or no lockdown the only certain way to control the infection is to accurately test for it and then quarantine. However, herein lies the conundrum for Governments and their specialist advisors; the current rapid antigen testing kits are simply not fit for purpose. On November 3rd 2020 the US FDA issued a warning regarding ‘false positives’ correlated in data collected.
On the 12th of November 2020 Bristol University supported by the BMJ issued a report entitled “Accuracy of Rapid Covid Test May Be Lower Than Previously Suggested” their research results suggest that if ten per cent of people given the test had previously been infected, around one in five positive test results would be incorrect (false positive results).
https://www.bmj.com/content/371/bmj.m4262 –https://www.bristol.ac.uk/news/2020/november/abc-19-study.html
On the 8th December 2020 it was reported that the weekly ONS coronavirus survey (supposedly the information gold standard and in particular used to underpin Boris Johnson‘s controversial announcement at the end of October 2020 to put England back into national lockdown) was in fact contradicting itself.
For Government it seemed that no other course of action was possible, given that the ONS survey on 30th October showed the incidence of coronavirus in the community in England had surged from 4.3 per 10,000 people on 3rdOctober to 9.52 on the 17th, the latest date for data then available, a terrifyingly fast doubling rate.
So, the advice from the government’s Chief Scientific Adviser Patrick Vallance, and Chief Medical Officer Chris Whitty to the PM was unambiguous: lockdown was on the face of it the only reasonable course of action.
It is interesting to say the least, that in the latest ONS survey, dated 4th December, the national statistician has downgraded its estimate of coronavirus in England on 17thOctober to just 4.89 people per 10,000.
And it now says the incidence of coronavirus in England barely increased until after the start of lockdown – and even during lockdown it says the prevalence never got above 6.62 per 10,000 (on 17th November).
It is obviously extremely difficult to make momentous decisions like whether to go into national lockdown in a rational way if the data informing those decisions is subject to such massive after-the-event revisions.
What is rapidly becoming clear is that the test results are compromised and for all intents and purposes the PCR tests are not fit for purpose. So, what now? How can we possibly get back to some form of safe normality?
If the problem is approached from a completely different direction, in other words, not using existing testing technology / systems and adapting them, then a ‘REAL-TIME detection solution can be found.